A break up of the large accounting giants may
occur naturally, rather than by legislation.
Too big, too concentrated and unable to spot the
emerging problems on financial institutions’ balance sheets. These are some of
the accusations levied against the big four accounting firms. Indeed, it
strikes many as odd that audit, tax and a range of related consulting services,
should be concentrated in a mere four firms. Not least, Michel Barnier, the
European Internal Market Commissioner, who has put forward a range of proposals
to help reduce the dominance of the big four. These include compulsory
rotations, joint audits and more frequent competitive tendering amongst a wider
range of accounting firms.
Barnier may be on to something; the average audit tenure
of FTSE 100 companies is forty-eight years, this and the fact that all but one of
these firms is audited by the big four, suggests that this industry may be
closer to a cosy oligopoly than a competitive market.
The one organisation which doesn’t have its beans
counted by the big four, Randgold Resources, is audited by BDO Hayward. BDO and
other middle market firms are often considered too small to compete for global
audit work. According to BDO’s managing partner, Simon Michaels, “audit is the
only industry where five billion revenue and presence in fifty-one countries,
is considered too small”
The dominance of the big four is a fairly recent
phenomenon. Readers will remember the big five, prior to the collapse of Arthur
Anderson, and the big six before that. Yet the consolidation of audit services
to a mere four firms was a fairly natural transition. David Tweedie, IASB
(International Accounting Standards Board) Chairman, reckons that the number
may also expand naturally as China continues to develop its own accounting
principles and qualifications.
Tweedie believes that China’s growth will continue
to impact on the market capitalisation of firms globally. Already we see the US
market cap shrinking from over half of listed companies to a third globally.
This is having some interesting effects on an industry which is often derided
as a little dull. Middle market firms are already punching above their weight
in China and could well become the Anglo American arms of future Chinese
accounting goliaths.
This is buoyed by the fact that accounting firms are
run as local partnerships rather than global companies. Each partnership in its
respective jurisdiction has limited liability to the rest of the wider global
partnership. Auditing firms are closer to networks of independent partnerships
rather than large multinationals. This should make it easier for Chinese firms
to grow and form links with existing western firms.
Yet there are reservations over Chinese expansion in
audit services; hardly unexpected in an industry where prudence and
conservatism are at a premium. Some objections smack of protectionism and seem
quite hypercritical. For instance, the requirement that Chinese qualifications
are taken rather than the ACA or CPA (British and American accounting qualifications
respectively) is similar to what many countries have imposed in the past.
Other requirements are more contentious. China wants
local partners to dominate local offices by 2017. With a string of recent
accounting scandals in China, many see this as premature. Inexperienced local
partners could well be more sympathetic to government officials which is
unlikely to put shareholders minds at ease.
Coming to an amicable solution is difficult. Ideas
such as joint audits make accountants and shareholders equally uncomfortable,
yet other remedies to the big four dominance prove either illusive or just as
unpalatable.
Regulators should hold back. The emergence of China
will bring vitality and competition to the audit industry. However if the big
four prove capable of dominating Asia as they have the West, expect more
grumbles from regulators.
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